I think I’m starting to get a good impression of Trump’s future course of action on Russia. Here’s a clip form the person he picked to inform his action on Russia:

This makes it increasingly likely that the Biden regime’s recent escalatory moves have been given green light by Trump; he’s basically making things five times worse, so that when he makes them 10% better he’ll be hailed as a peacemaker. Only, it’s not going to work.

You see, Trump works from flawed premises. He thinks he can threaten Russia with effective measures in order to ensure submission. However, America has already used everything it dared to use and lost the war. America already depleted their stockpiles of weapons, and not just their own, but across NATO. It also has a crisis in Israel, and is trying to bully China. America just doesn’t have the military potential Trump thinks he has. Sure, they can start using their air force, but it will be shot down and their airfields and aircraft carriers will be destroyed within a day. Everything they have is within range of Russian retaliatory weapons, which is why it wasn’t used; it was certainly not out of great love for the Russians. Also, in case of open war the Russians will destroy all their satellites, making America completely blind. Essentially, America is not where Trump thinks it is. It’s between admitting failure in its attempt to strategically defeat Russia, or resorting to nuclear weapons. Also, economically speaking America is not doing well, and is in a process of collapse; Russia is doing much better. American allies have all been strategically weakened by American efforts to cut them off from Russia and China, and will be of absolutely no help. Russian allies, on the other hand, desire to keep the world as it is for the most part, just remove the part where America bullies them; they are nothing but a bunch of scared sheep, and are also of little use to anyone as they are.

So, basically, Trump will try to “negotiate” from the position of strength, which he thinks he has but he is mistaken. The Russians will take a look at this and say “ok, so nothing new, we continue with our operation”. The great America that Trump remembers was there when he was young, but it’s not there anymore, and it’s not coming back. Also, Trump thinks that his enemies see his potentially friendly attitude towards Russia as his weakness that was exploited against him in his first mandate, and he will apparently try to be super hostile towards Russia in order to compensate, and he thinks Putin is some Russian thug he can intimidate like he did with mafia in New York. He is mistaken. In fact, Trump is the oligarch thug, and Putin dealt with his kind very successfully in the beginnings of his rule. He understands stupid power addicts. There’s an enormous gulf in competence, intelligence and sophistication between the two.

I can predict that Trump will threaten, and his bluff will be called. He then thinks he will intimidate Putin into submission by making some kind of a nuclear demonstration, or a limited nuclear attack. The result will be Russian retaliatory strike on America.

Trump defines “getting along” with Russia and China as a “relationship” where America dictates and the others obey. What he failed to understand is that this is no longer working. America has been abusing other powers too much and for too long, and they are done with it. Putin is barely containing his people and his military, because there is huge desire for crushing the West altogether. Putin is not some dictatorial thug that can be bullied or manipulated, Putin is a moderate who is desperately trying to prevent nuclear war, and already had to make concessions, and what Trump is about to do is going to weaken Putin’s argument to the point where he will have to concede, and admit that the radicals were right. He had to do that several times already, and his moderate position is already in retreat.