The Russians just lost a Slava-class cruiser “Moscow” near Odessa. The Russian-controlled media are trying to downplay it and present it as a result of fire on board, but the most likely explanation is that it was hit by rockets from Odessa, because the Russians just sat there and refused to actually kill the enemies, while the Ukrainians have absolutely no compunctions about killing Russians in any way or form – they would kill men, women or children, with conventional, chemical or biological weapons, in as large number as possible, and the more the merrier. The Ukrainians absolutely hate the Russians, while the Russians think that most Ukrainians are good and they are only fighting a minority of “nazis”. I think this is a strategic miscalculation, because the entire concept of Ukrainian state is based on hatred of Russian identity; there’s nothing else there, really. What is Ukraine, anyway? Agricultural fields and hatred of Russia. That’s why they identify with the Nazis, because they had to go there in order to claim any kind of identity separate from Russia.

The Russians also have a problem of trying to play it according to the international law, and the problem consists of them being the only side that adheres to it, while everybody else both routinely breaks/ignores it, and will stand in judgment over Russia based on fabricated evidence in any case, so Russian insistence on playing by the rules on a corrupt playing field leads to a guaranteed loss.

Also, as I initially said, it is impossible to win this in Ukraine. You can lose it there, but not win. In order to win you need to take out America and the UK, and I mean really take them out. Then, all the secondary issues that appear as problems now will suddenly be non-issues. If they don’t take out the primary enemy, and keep fighting proxy wars, the result will be certain strategic loss.

Basically, if Russia isn’t determined to actually win, it will lose with mathematical certainty.

Edit: The cruiser apparently capsized during the attempt of towing; that, at least, is what the Russian news are reporting.