The current situation with Syria

An American army general directly threatened Russia with war.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-wCwJ8pfXXo

Russians are taking the threat seriously and are currently performing extensive civil defense drills for 40 million people, who are test-driving the nuclear shelters and hazmat suits.

Prior to that, Americans stopped the bilateral talks with the Russians over Syria and are now contemplating a military solution to overthrow Syrian legitimate government which they don’t like because they prefer the jihadists, according to a recent leak.

The Russians responded to this “leak” by stating that Syrian army is under their defensive umbrella and any attacking aircraft will be promptly taken down without much investigation where it came from. They also mentioned that “stealth” is bullshit and that their radars see American “invisible planes” just fine.

https://www.rt.com/news/361800-russia-syria-usa-aistrikes/

Essentially, Syria is now a no-fly zone for America and their slave-countries. Technically, they can fly, but they cannot perform combat actions. OK, technically they can perform combat actions too, once.

America can now back down and try to achieve their goals in some way that is less hazardous. But that’s not the America we all know. More likely, they will try to immediately push against the imposed boundaries.

But let’s put it this way. Russia is not really bathing in money. Nuclear shelters for 40M people cost serious money. Massive drills that encompass such a huge portion of the populations are also expensive. This means they are perceiving a serious and direct danger of an all-out nuclear war. And I don’t mean all-out for Harambe.

Thoughts about America

I’ve been following the situation in Syria lately, both the US-Russia “agreement” and the situation on the ground, and here are some of my thoughts.

First of all, America has almost zero control on the ground, among the jihadists. They will take American weapons, but they will use them to shoot the “Christian dogs” immediately afterwards.

Second, there are no moderates in the opposition there. All the moderates are aligned with the government. For quite a while the rallying call among the jihadists was that Assad and similar “dictators” need to be overthrown, because they are not democratic enough, and guess what, “democratic” there means “Islamic radical”.

Third, if you allowed the people there to elect a government, they would put an Islamic caliphate in power, which is what ISIS is. ISIS is the manifestation of the will of the local populace. What’s immensely worrying is that America if arming and financing those idiots, both directly and through their client states in the middle-east, and that’s why they are so difficult to defeat. Essentially, the Muslim Brotherhood and ISIS are what democracy will produce there, in the same way as it produced the current regime in Iran. It was the result of the popular uprising against American meddling in their affairs, and it’s not going anywhere. So, basically, in the middle-east democracy means radical salafism, an Islamic caliphate. That’s what the Muslims would create if you allowed them to pick their own government, and that’s why the only way to introduce some semblance of Western values, progress and technology there was to impose some kind of a secular dictatorship.

Fourth, the main difference between America and Russia at this point is that Russia wants to stabilize the middle-east and avoid the spread of chaos and war, and America wants the opposite, it wants to completely decivilize the middle-east in a state of perpetual war where all the cold-war era client states have been destroyed, and the local Islamists essentially have no financial or industrial capacity for spreading Islam to the west.

Fifth, in the long-term, what America seems to be doing might actually save the Western civilization, if they are actually doing what I think they are. In the short-term, it causes regional chaos, which seems to export itself into Europe and America through the wave of migrants. Those migrants are too stupid to take part in the Western economy and can only serve as drain on our resources and form dens of terrorists and troublemakers. Essentially, they are worth nothing and cost us dearly.

Sixth, I don’t know which troubles me more, that America seems to insult and provoke Russia so blatantly, or that Russia reacts so calmly. Russian calmness most likely means they are simply buying time and forcing America to start the nuclear war, which they accepted as inevitable. Were it not so, they would probably try to avert it with an aggressive posture. This entire thing looks like a game for the public opinion after the war, where America wants to kill all the Russians while portraying them as aggressors and itself as a defender of peace, while Russians seem to say “we know you’re the aggressors, just go ahead with whatever you have planned, but don’t expect us to take part in your games”. The Russians are very careful not to do anything that could be used as an excuse for the start of a nuclear war. However, they are prepared for it.

Interestingly, although a bear is used to symbolize Russia, I think they are acting more like a rattle snake. They are sounding their warning but they remain in a strictly defensive posture. If you ignore the warning and step on them, they will bite you, but they will not attack first, they will not leave their defended zone. Also, I noticed a very interesting thing – Americans seem to be laying traps for the Russians, things like the artificial Ukraine crisis, where they expected Russia to react by invading Ukraine, but Russia evaded the trap and instead opened a completely different theater of action in Syria. America now tries to create a situation in Syria where Russia will have to react in a way conducive to the nuclear war that they desire, but I expect Russia to evade again and open a completely different theater to project its influence. Essentially, what America seems to be doing is provoke the rattle snake to strike, so that it can cut its head off, but the rattle snake sees through it and acts very strategically. America is more powerful, but the Russians are smarter. The entire situation looks like a conflict between an IQ 90 bully and an IQ 130 geek, where America is the bully. The usual development of such conflicts is that the bully keeps beating up the geek, but the geek strategically uses his advantages in such a way that he suffers through the ordeal patiently, finishes school with high grades, creates a tech startup company and earns millions of dollars, and the bully gets to deliver him pizza. Essentially, the geek knows he can’t win the battles, but he can position things so that he survives them just long enough for the strategic situation to shift to his advantage.

The most worrying thing in the entire situation is that America behaves like a bully who thinks he’s invulnerable because all the power in the world is on his side, and nobody will stop him. He will bully whomever he feels like, and he will control the narrative in order to present the victim as the villain. America acts in a way that is consistent with a serious power trip of someone who never had to endure a crushing defeat, and that’s the worrying part, because if that’s true, it means they don’t even understand or care for the warning signs of the rattle snake, and they will simply proceed to attack.

Their problem is that the Russians and the Chinese see through them, they understand what they are dealing with, they have time on their side and they will strike, when it comes to the point of “use it or lose it”. And considering the IQ difference, they have a very good chance of completely surprising the Americans and winning. The Americans are very powerful, but they are overconfident, reckless, internally conflicted and stupid. This is not a winning combination.

Evil, it’s what other people do

Whenever some bad shit happens, it’s always other people’s fault. You’re fine. Nothing wrong with you in any way.

When your government kills people, supports terrorists, dumps toxic waste into the environment, cuts down forests or introduces shitty laws, it’s not your fault. It’s the government. It’s the other people.

It’s the politicians, the rich, the elitists. They are evil, corrupt, deformed, they serve Satan. But you, the common people, you are good, right, proper, decent and you serve God.

You just want to have safety, food, water, gas, job and other infrastructure. You’re going to protest if you don’t get it, and you’re going to remain silent if you’re pleased.

You just want to be happy and want your children to be happy. The duty of the politicians and the industrialists is to figure out how to make the details work. You don’t want to know. You don’t want to dirty your hands with the messy details. You will just vote at the ballot box and you will vote with your wallet at the store. You just want results.

You are great. If only the rest of the world was as good and decent as you. If only you could get rid of the politicians and the capitalists, who are evil, then all would be great.

Do you even get it, or is my sarcasm so close to your actual opinion that you don’t even recognize it as such?

The problem with the nukes at Incirlik

There’s been lots of talk about the nukes in the Incirlik base in Turkey. One news site reported that they were being transferred to Deveselu base in Romania. So, what’s actually going on there and what’s the problem?

First of all, the nukes in question are the B61 nuclear bombs, the stupidest and the most outdated cold-war era weapons, whose usefulness today is basically zero. The only problem I see with those weapons is not even that they are going to fall into enemy hands. The problem that I see is that enough of a circus can be created around that base for one bomb to disappear, or, even worse, that the transfer of the weapons enables “someone” to cover up the fact that one bomb was already “misplaced”, in order to create “The sum of all fears” scenario, where the Americans, and here I mean the players behind the scene, might detonate the nuke in one of their own cities in order to declare the state of emergency, suspend the constitution, the civilian government and bring the country under military rule, while at the same time initiating a “retaliatory” nuclear strike at some enemy or another, throwing the world into a nuclear nightmare.

So, I’m not afraid of those bombs as such. They are militarily useless and probably should have been dismantled in the 1990s. The only reason why there are in Incirlik is to give Turkey a false sense of importance as a NATO ally. Nukes that are not mounted on rockets are basically a third or fourth line of defense, they are not seriously counted on, they are not feared and they are easily forgotten. However, once they are forgotten they are easy to “misplace”, and one such militarily irrelevant weapon can be a formidable terrorist or a false flag weapon.

So, let’s analyze this further. Let’s say the Americans really do move those nukes from the Incirlik base. It is seriously unlikely for them to be transported to Deveselu. First of all, those things are airplane bombs. They need to be stored near a nuclear-certified airfield, in an underground bunker with certified personnel. As far as I know, and I can quite easily be wrong, Deveselu has no such infrastructure, and it would actually be more dangerous to transport the nukes there than to leave them where they are now. If I wanted to transport them somewhere, I would do it to some facility in Europe that already stores nuclear weapons of the similar kind, so that no additional infrastructural overhead is needed. Such facilities are Kleine Brogel air base in Belgium, Büchel or Ramstein bases in Germany, Aviano base in Italy, and Volkel air base in Netherlands.

Now, if there is something I don’t know, such as the possible fact that Americans have nuclear-tipped Tomahawk cruise missiles stored in Incirlik base, and if they moved those to Deveselu in Romania, and installed them alongside the AEGIS systems, the Russians might be very, very pissed off at that fact, to the point of reducing Deveselu to the status of a glass parking lot. I cannot exclude that, but it’s a long shot and it’s not the thing that worries me. What I’m worried about is that the chaotic situations like the one in Incirlik are the ideal opportunities for something to get unintentionally or intentionally misplaced or lost, with the aforementioned consequences. And if something was already “misplaced”, this would be an ideal opportunity for this to be covered up.

Traits of totalitarianism

I encountered a very strange and crazy phenomenon in public discourse – not only in online comment sections and chat-rooms, but the main stream media as well, and that is preconditioning of dialogue.

Basically, that means that you can label someone as having non-permissible opinions or attitudes, basically not being ideologically appropriate, and you simply refuse to talk to that person, to “give him platform” for expressing his “propaganda”, because if an idea is different from yours, it is “propaganda”, and you need to suppress it by non-platforming it.

I’ve seen things like that before, in socialist Yugoslavia and the Soviet Union. Basically, this politically correct thing that has infiltrated public discourse and preconditions dialogue with having politically correct opinions, it’s not a new thing. All totalitarian systems did this.

I think it all started with antisemitism (in our modern post-WW2 society, at least). When it was basically outlawed, the precedent was set for removing certain intellectual and political options from public discourse and effectively penalizing them. Once that was in place, the list of attributes that put you on a no-speak and no-work list was extended to encompass everything some shitty group deemed unfavorable to their interests. Once the pedophiles manage to get enough public support, they will force the lawmakers to decriminalize fucking children, they will force the psychiatrists to stop viewing pedophilia as a disorder, and will invent a newspeak term “pedophobe” for someone who has a “pathological fear of pedophilia”, basically putting the inmates in charge of the asylum. If you think this is unrealistic, you need to wake up and smell the coffee. The inmates have been in charge of the asylum for decades already. Normal people are seen as a problem that needs to be solved, and all kinds of perverts and minority groups are praised as the best thing ever and something the world needs more of, not because they did something of value, but because they are minorities. They now treat being a “white male” as membership in some crime syndicate, and every instance of failure is attributed to oppression; and of course, you blame oppression on the group in power.

So, being labeled as one of the oppressors is the way of excluding people from public discourse – you shouldn’t have a voice because you’re part of the problem, because I say so. I see no difference between that and Stalinism. You shouldn’t have a voice because you’re [insert label here] and you should be deported to Gulag. So, basically, it should be called “argumentum ad Gulag”, which is a combination of ad hominem (because it discredits the person and not the arguments), ad consensu gentium (because “we all know” that [label] is evil and those who are evil need to be suppressed”) and ad baculum (because of the implicit threat of sanctions that result from the labeling).

My recommendation is that this entire approach should be abandoned immediately, and that people should be judged individually and on basis of the actual merit of their ideas and actions, and not by some label that is attached to them. I also recommend that any attempt at labeling is to be seen as a symptom of a desire to oppress others, essentially of passive aggression, and that it should be seen as very suspicious and indicative of malicious intents. There are simply too many historical precedents showing this.

And you know what the funny thing is? The very fact that this strategy is used shows that the one using it is in power and is using oppression against others. This is evident from the very fact that the true oppressors are never afraid of being labeled as such. When the racists were in power and owned slaves, if you accused them of being racists they would laugh at you: of course I am, you fool. When the Nazis were in power, accusing them of being antisemites and Nazis would yield the same result. So it’s proven that the one using labeling to direct social outrage and legal sanctions is in fact in power and is using oppression to fight dissent. Think about that for a while.

The test of a free society is whether you are free to respond to a label with “yes” or “maybe I am”, suffer no sanctions, and the debate continues with the actual arguments. If you need to defend yourself from the accusation in order to even participate in the discussion and not suffer repercussions, you live in a totalitarian society.