Yesterday, a billion computers running Windows 10 bluescreened because Microsoft pushed an untested update by a company called CrowdStrike. Air travel, banks, payment systems, hospitals and who knows what else was affected. Interestingly, everybody affected belonged to a single user group: large entities with enterprise-level security systems installed.

The guy who tried to assassinate Trump once appeared in a 2022 Blackrock ad. I tried to test several possible conspiracy theories, and nothing really makes sense. The guy seems to be a stupid kid, but without any social network accounts, which is weird, because if that stuff was wiped in advance, that would be evidence of an actual conspiracy on very high levels that include intelligence agencies. Also, the guy was on a roof in what was supposed to be a protected area, and the experts say the only explanations are total incompetence or conspiracy.

So, we have two major events very close to each other, where almost inexplicable levels of incompetence are the only alternative explanation to conspiracy. So, let’s first go with the more parsimonic explanation: incompetence. This is actually very easy to believe, because America is literally rotting from top to bottom, and incompetence is absolutely widespread, and often dressed up in corporate and political newspeak to look good. Boeing literally can’t make airplanes anymore because they fired all their engineers. Microsoft no longer has a department that tests software, they basically fired it all and are now crowdsourcing product testing. Big startups that turn out to be based on outright fraud – basically just hype without a product – are no longer even news, it’s the way things are done there. The Secret Service head is a woke woman that has a goal of “diversity”, and Trump’s security detail included several obviously incompetent women who were running around aimlessly like headless chicken. The president of America is completely senile. Meritocracy is a bad word there, because it goes contrary to all the DEI neo-Marxist nonsense that’s the ruling policy of the country. No, incompetence cannot be ruled out as an explanation for anything there, because the entire West is a black hole of incompetence, idiocy and all sorts of fools who would save the world and CrowdStrike is an excellent metaphor: a security firm that created the greatest security threat and outage in history.

However, as tempting it is to say that Americans are obviously idiots and no level of incompetence can be put past them, I would still like to explore conspiracy as an explanation, just to be thorough. The problem here is that there’s no actual evidence, but if I was told that incompetence has to be ruled out as an explanation and that I have to promote the secondary explanation, no matter how poorly backed by evidence, to the no1 spot, I’d say that the circumstantial non-evidence points in the direction of someone trying to create chaos, or at least test the mechanisms they have in place for creating chaos, panic and erosion of normalcy. It would have to be someone in a high enough place to be able to control both Secret Service, Microsoft and whoever in the Wall St. billionaire crowd it is that owns big enough chunk of CrowdStrike, which seems to be a 80 billion company that sells security-themed nonsense to enterprise customers, who all wet their panties at the mention of security and control. If it’s AI controlling security, they are already working very hard to suppress a loud orgasm in public. CrowdStrike seems to sell just the right combination of buzzwords, but in reality, I have no reason to believe it’s not the new Theranos. I also have no reason to believe that it is. However, knowing how American business works, … In any case, the most likely explanation would be a conspiracy from those WEF people, or whoever sells them ideology and panders to their narcissism in order to control them. It’s actually possible that they take instructions from an AI, which for instance tells them that they need increased social anxiety in order to increase probability of success for whatever grand plan they are implementing, and they pulled the strings for several chaos-sowing events.

I don’t know. However plausible this sounds, the evidence is incredibly thin and I can’t give it a Bayesian match higher than 20%; incompetence is just so much more elegant explanation, but for some reason I’m not happy with it, because the other explanation fits into a wider situation very nicely, and once the news about the Trump assassination attempt started to circulate, the thing that crossed my mind was “whoever put this in motion must have a plan B”. Also, yes, Biden is completely senile, but someone is pulling the strings of that obvious puppet, and it’s in someone’s interest to have a figurehead “President” who gives them free rein. That someone might not want there to be an election. Furthermore, the two explanations are not mutually exclusive, as a society riddled with profound and systemic incompetence is very easily influenced or outright taken over by malicious actors. I would therefore advise caution, and expect major disruptive events. Declaration of a state of emergency in America, resulting in closing the borders (for departures at least), lockdown and severe crackdown on what little there remains of freedom is likely in the short-term. I don’t know what excuse they will use this time, but something’s definitely in the air.

The main headline on RT is “Dmitry Suslov: It’s time for Russia to drop a nuclear bomb“.

The fact that it’s there and it’s the main article means that the Russian government is probing the public for reactions. Well, my opinion is that a demonstration, in a sense of a nuclear test, would be utterly pointless, because the point in contention isn’t whether the Russians have nuclear weapons or not, or whether nuclear weapons are dangerous or not, but whether Russia is willing to actually use nuclear weapons against their enemies in order to deter further encroachments on their sovereignty and integrity. They can’t just nuke the polygon in Novaya Zemlya or some similar wasteland, they need to hit several NATO bases – not just one – and they need to show that they are not afraid of the loss of life and possible escalation, because any such fears have been and will be used against them. They can no longer appeal to the opponent’s abstract reasoning skills, or a sense of logic. They need to inflict mortal fear, and appeal to naked and immediate terror.

Two days ago, the Ukrainians (read: the Americans) performed a successful drone attack that damaged the Voronezh radar station in Russian Krasnodar.

This radar is part of the nuclear early warning systems. An attack to nuclear early warning systems is something that would traditionally precede a sneak first strike, and as such is taken extremely seriously. This is absolutely not something Ukrainians would have done on their own, because it makes no sense in context of the Ukraine war theatre. This is something unprecedented and extremely serious, basically comparable to a special force diversionary attack on nuclear silos with the goal of disabling the ICBMs.

This never happened before, and in traditional nuclear doctrine this would have a very serious answer – raise the readiness level of the nuclear forces to the equivalent of DEFCON 2, and launch if any redundant radar or satellite detection systems are compromised. Also, the answer to this would traditionally be destruction of the American radar stations in Poland, Romania and so on, that are a part of the nuclear war toolkit.

I cannot overstate the seriousness of this. We are in the initial phase of a nuclear war between NATO and the Russian Federation.

So far, the fact that the Russians kept this under wraps means that the thing is too serious for politics and news, and they didn’t want to paint themselves into a corner in ways that would mandate an instant nuclear strike.

Update 27-5-2024: Yesterday another Voronezh radar station, this time in Orenburg, was hit. There is no indication of the level of the actual damage to the station in question, which probably means that there was little to none, but the intent itself creates a pattern.

Update 29-5-2024: Third attack, Voronezh station in Krasnodar again.

Russia is advancing rapidly in the Kharkov direction. The Ukrainians are trying to re-route troops from other fronts in order to stop them, with the effect of losing in other places and getting the troops killed en-route. I also noticed passive-aggressive behaviour of the Ukrainians in Kharkov and other places towards the fascists in power – basically, they are waiting for the Russians to come and for this terrible Ukrainian experiment to end.

The Russians shot down multiple HARM rockets in the last few days; analysis: the Americans and the British are trying to destroy enough air defence systems on the Belgorod path for cruise missiles to go through and hit some soft high-visibility target in Russia, in order to score some kind of a propaganda victory or whatever. This is going to trigger a pre-authorised response by Russia, and it might even be nuclear.

Essentially, the Russians are doing quite well, Ukraine is coming to an end, and the Americans have a choice to either give up or double down. All indications point towards them doubling down.