Yugoslavia breakdown timeline

Nov 29th 1971 The Croatian spring broken, Croat leaders imprisoned.

Feb 21st 1974 The new constitution introduces new state structure that gives the constituent republics much more autonomy, including the right of self-determination. This formed the legal basis for the country’s dissolution in the 1990s.

May 4th, 1980 Tito dies. Country is headed by the Presidency of Yugoslavia, rotating the President on an annual basis between the republics.

May 1986 Slobodan Milošević heads the communist party of Serbia and initiates a nationalist course.

1989 Slobodan Milošević is elected president of Serbia. His Gazimestan speech is seen as an ominous cloud foretelling the grim future of Serbia introducing a centralized and oppressive rule, trying to cancel out the freedoms granted by the 1974 constitution.

Jan 1990 Yugoslav communist party congress; Serbia tries to outvote Slovenia and Croatia and “democratically” establish the new, centralized, Serb-dominated direction of the country. Slovenia walks out. When Serbia tries to proceed without them, Croatia walks out as well, followed by Macedonia and Bosnia-Herzegovina, leaving the Serbs to play with themselves. Communist party of Yugoslavia becomes defunct, and this initiates the process of dissolution of Yugoslavia.

Apr 8th 1990 First multi-party elections in Slovenia. The pro-independence coalition defeated the communist party, starting the transition to the market economy and a liberal political system. The government starts pursuing independence of Slovenia from Yugoslavia.

Apr 22-23rd 1990 First multi-party elections in Croatia. The nationalist party won and ousted the communist party from power.

Aug 17th 1990 The “log revolution” starts; the Croatian Serb minority starts a separatist rebellion, using logs to inhibit railroad and road traffic.

Oct 1990 The Croatian Serbs declare autonomy.

Dec 23rd 1990 The referendum on the independence of Slovenia was held; 88% voted for independence.

May 19th 1991 The referendum on the independence of Croatia was held; 83% turnout, 93% voted in favour of independence. The Croatian Serb uprising is increasing in severity.

Mar 31 1991 The “bloody Easter” at the Plitvice Lakes; the Croatian police tries to intervene against the Serb separatist uprising, the Yugoslav Army intervenes against the Croatian police, siding with the Serb rebels. In retrospective, this is seen as the start of the Serb uprising and the independence war in Croatia, with Croatia’s first combat fatality. The rebel Serb entity declares itself separate from Croatia and seeks unification with Serbia.

May 2nd 1991 Borovo Selo killings in Croatia; the Serb paramilitaries ambushed Croatian policemen, killing 12 and injuring 21. This is a shock to the Croats and the public anger rises against the Serbs, whose “uprisings” were before seen as a joke (where “balvan revolucija”, or “log revolution” was basically a funny meme). It becomes obvious to the Croats that the Serbs actually hate them and want to kill them and take their land; things get really serious, and Croatia prepares for war.

Jun 25th 1991 Croatia declares independence and the dissolution of association with Yugoslavia, but forced by the EU to introduce a three-month moratorium on the decision.

Jun 25th 1991 Appropriate legal acts are passed and Slovenia legally declares independence. This is the formal date of the dissolution of Yugoslavia. In the morning of the next day, Yugoslav army intervenes, but is faced with unified resistance by the Slovenian people and at Jul 7th the Brijuni agreement is made, and the Yugoslav army agrees to withdraw. Slovenia is free, but for Croatia the war is just starting.

Aug 25 1991 Battle for Vukovar begins in Croatia. Throughout Croatia, war rages; the Army barracks are under siege, and the Army attacks targets throughout Croatia.

Sep 8 1991 Republic of Macedonia has a referendum and proclaims independence.

Oct 1st 1991 Siege and bombardment of Dubrovnik. Oct 4th Bombing of Zagreb TV tower. Oct 5th Croatia declares general mobilization. Oct 7th bombing of presidential residence in Zagreb in attempted decapitation strike. The Serbs massacre Croats in various locations where they have the upper hand.

Nov 18 1991 Vukovar falls, the Serbs massacre the captured defenders. International recognition of Croatia begins after all international dreams of salvaging Yugoslavia as a country shatter.

Nov 23 1991 Vance plan, Geneva accords signed; ceasefire is agreed, freezing the occupied parts of Croatia under Serb separatist rule. Croatia has to agree to this in order to buy time to create an army. Having achieved what they could in Croatia, the Serbs turn their sights to Bosnia.

Mar 1st 1992 Bosnia’s Muslims and Croats vote for independence from Yugoslavia; Bosnian Serbs mainly boycott the referendum.

Mar 2rd 1992 Bosnia declares independence. “Yugoslavia” now consists of Serbia and Montenegro, but it controls the entire formerly-federal army, which is a big deal. The local Serbs including the Yugoslav Army perform complete encirclement and siege of Sarajevo. The Serbs quickly seize more than half of Bosnia. The Muslims are caught by surprise due to misguided and failed policies of Alija Izetbegović, and suffer the hardest initial losses. The Croats were prepared by the experience in Croatia and, for the most part, retain control over their part of the land.

Jan 1993 The Muslims back-stab their Croat allies, in a fight for territory; the Croats are seen as a softer target compared to the Serbs. Total mayhem and fratricidal slaughter ensues.

Apr 1993 The UN establishes protection zones.

Mar 1st 1994 The Muslim-Croat alliance is brokered by the USA.

Mar-Jul 1995 Bosnian Serbs under Radovan Karadžić cut off Žepa and Srebrenica areas and “purge” the local Muslims. The UN troops are of course useless. The Serbs seem to have the upper hand in Bosnia and the Western Muslim enclave around Bihać is about to fall. However, this is the point where the Croats decide to finally show what they’ve been doing since 1991, and enter the game.

May 1-3rd 1995 Operation “Flash”, Croatia quickly liberates one of three occupied regions. It becomes obvious that the times of Yugoslav (now basically Serbian) army’s military supremacy have ended and Croatia now has the ability to call the shots.

May 2-3 The rebel Serbs perform a rocket attack on Zagreb, using MLRS with cluster ammunition, killing and injuring civilians across the capital. This outrages and angers the Croats more, if that’s even possible.

Aug 4-7th 1995 Operation “Storm”, Croatia quickly liberates the second, central occupied region. The local Serbs evacuate en masse, fearing reprisals for their actions from 1991 onwards. It is now obvious that the operation “Flash” was not a fluke, but a new pattern. The Croatian army has total military supremacy in the region, and enters Bosnia, making quick work of the Serbs there. The Serbs are panicking, they are evacuating from Banja Luka, fearing the rapid Croatian advance. The Americans intervene to stop the Croatian advance just ahead of Banja Luka falling.

Nov-Dec 1995 The Dayton Agreement formally ends the war in Croatia and Bosnia.

1998 Trouble in Kosovo brewing; the Albanians are starting to kill the Serbian policemen. Yugoslav army intervenes and makes quick work of the Albanian separatists.

1999 Uprising in Kosovo is subdued by the Serbian army, and it looks like a decisive Serbian victory. Macedonia is destabilised by the influx of some 360000 Albanian refugees from Kosovo. However, at this point America decides this constitutes a breach of the general terms they imposed at Dayton, and decide to make an example of Serbia, quenching their desire for military conquest and solving problems with neighbours by means of war. NATO (but de facto America) bombs Yugoslavia into complete submission. The Serbs are forced to abandon Kosovo, and America establishes a military base there.

This is the point where Russia wakes up from its Yeltsin-era slumber and smells the coffee, perceiving that Yugoslavia fell apart, that America bombed it, and concludes that American bombing destroyed Yugoslavia, causing everybody in the region to facepalm every time they say it.

 

Misconceptions

I find it amazing how the Russians, who understand pretty much everything else very clearly, get the Yugoslavia war so completely and utterly wrong. I keep hearing how Yugoslavia fell apart after America bombed it. It’s as if the Russians were so involved with their own 1990s situation, they started paying attention to everything else only after NATO bombed Belgrade, decided it’s a terrible thing, and it must have caused all the problems. That’s utter nonsense. How do I know it’s nonsense? I lived here, that’s how. I know the timeline. I’ve seen the events unfold. So let me write the timeline as I remembered it.

In 1980 Tito died. I remember that quite clearly, it was my first year in elementary school. There was great turmoil and uncertainty in Yugoslavia, because the entire system of government was organised around Tito as the cornerstone figure. His death created a power vacuum that was filled by a council of presidents of the constituent republics, and the president of Yugoslavia was rotated between them on an annual basis.

There was a significant tension in Yugoslavia during the 1980s, for two main reasons. First, the economy wasn’t working, and it was clear to the people in general that it wasn’t working, and, specifically, that it wasn’t working because it was socialist. People knew that because a significant number of them went abroad to Western Germany and other countries, and in five or ten years they could earn enough money to build a house. Nobody working in Yugoslavia could earn enough to build a house, and people asked the right question – if this socialism thing is so great for enrichment of the working class masses, how come you can’t earn enough money to build a house in socialism, as a working class man, and you can go to a supposedly exploitative capitalist country and you could do it just fine? Obviously, socialism doesn’t work. Also, since Yugoslavia had a more liberal system than other communist countries, and was in some aspects closer to the capitalist ones, it was interesting to see that economically, we were right in between – better economically than all other communist countries, and worse than all the capitalist ones, proving statistically that the more capitalism you introduce, the better off you are economically. Combined with hyperinflation of the Yugoslav Dinar, this created a strong pressure to reform the system into a fully capitalist one, and the communist party would have to relinquish power in order for that to happen. They weren’t having it, at least not in the central and eastern part of the country. Slovenia and Croatia were all for it, but the others were against it. The other reason for the economic tension was that Slovenia and Croatia were bringing in most of the money into the federal budget, and the Serbs were controlling the spending from Belgrade, and funneling the money basically to themselves, either trying to “mitigate poverty” in Kosovo, or building huge projects in Belgrade, while Croatian infrastructure was neglected; we couldn’t even build the highway connecting north and south until independence. We didn’t like being cash cows for the Serbs, you can bet.

Also, there was an inherent national tension between Serbs and Croats, that was suppressed by the communist party, but basically the Serbs wanted to control the military and the central government, and the Croats wanted to preserve their language and culture, and Tito kept things controlled after extinguishing a Croat national rebellion in the 1970s, by basically rounding up all the rebels and sending them to Goli Otok (Croatian version of Gulag), and then fulfilling all their demands. For good measure, he also rounded up and imprisoned all the Serbian nationalists who contributed to the situation with their “greater Serbia” policies, and the situation seemed to have been resolved until well after his death; the Croats got their culture, the Serbs got control over the military and the federal budget. However, the Serbian nationalists under Slobodan Milošević restarted the greater Serbia project, which essentially planned to turn Yugoslavia into greater Serbia, and use the Serb-controlled military to extinguish any “nationalist” dissent – because, it’s only “nationalism” when non-Serbs do it, and when the Serbs do it it’s Yugoslav “brotherhood and unity”. The Slovenes and Croats weren’t having it; they responded to the surge of Serbian nationalism that instrumentalised the mechanisms of the central government by relinquishing the authority of the communist party and reforming their national governments into a multi-party system, with full agreement of the national branches of the communist party, which agreed to participate in the free elections. In the elections, the nationalist parties won. The Serbs didn’t like this one bit, and threatened Slovenia and Croatia with the federal army. This increased the calls for independence of the republics, culminating in a referendum which was held, the majority of people voted to declare independence, and this is where Yugoslavia was formally dissolved.

At this point, things started getting bad. The Serbs tried to subdue Slovenia with the military, but since they faced complete opposition from the Slovenian people, this failed and they had to withdraw. In Croatia, they instrumentalised the local Serb minority to declare independence from Croatia, promoting fears that the Croats are some kinds of Nazis who are going to kill them all or something. This was complete nonsense, because the Croats didn’t want to either kill or oppress the Serbs, they just didn’t want the Serbs to keep oppressing them. This later became obvious when the war broke out, and Croats stopped at liberating their own territory; they never struck at Serbia. But let’s return to the beginnings of the war – the national army integrated with the Serb rebellion and occupied parts of Croatia. They repeated this in Bosnia, which fragmented across national lines, starting a very nasty fratricidal war. This lasted several years, during which the Croats built their own army from ground up, and in 1995 they executed two very swift and decisive military operations called “flash” and “storm”, which recovered two out of three Serb-occupied parts of Croatia. Also, they then proceeded to Bosnia and kicked Serbs’ arse so hard that America had to intervene and say “enough is enough, let’s have peace talks now, and whoever continues with this war will have to deal with us”. There was the famous Dayton accord, the third occupied part of Croatia was reintegrated, and Bosnia was basically split into two political units joined under threat of American force: one Serbian, and the other jointly ruled by Muslims and Croats. It seemed that the war was over, but then the Serbs started moving their military to both Kosovo and Macedonia, inflaming the war there. At this point, the Americans decided that Milošević’s Serbia is a rabid dog that needs to be put down if they want to have any peace there, and not have the war spread all the way to Greece, Albania and possibly Bulgaria and what not, so they bombed Serbia into submission, and this, apparently, is the point where Russia woke up and perceived that something bad is going on and Yugoslavia was bombed apart by America. Of course, at that point there was no Yugoslavia any more – the name was only kept by the Serbia-Montenegro entity in order to claim ownership of the formerly federal assets and the significant international reputation of the former country, and the Russians were apparently lethargic enough to have fallen for this piece of trickery, which is not unexpected since this was during the Yeltsin era, and Yeltsin was a drunken and demented fool who couldn’t tell his asshole from a hole in the wall at that point.

So, basically, if you tell a Croat or a Slovenian that Yugoslavia fell apart because NATO bombed Belgrade, they will immediately stop taking you seriously regardless of the merit of your other arguments, because this statement is so obviously and patently false, it’s like stating that the Soviet Union broke apart because Putin came to power. Tell that to a Russian and he will instantly know that you are an idiot. So, dear Russians, please get your knowledge of history up to date. America didn’t break up Yugoslavia; Serbia did, and by the way, it would serve you well not to trust the Serbian propaganda, because that’s what you’ve been hearing – propaganda, consisting of self-serving lies. They broke up Yugoslavia because they tried to dominate and bully the Croats, who are generally very easy going and laid back people, unless you fuck with us, which is the point at which you start wishing you didn’t. They also conveniently forget to tell you that the Ustaše movement in the WW2 era was specifically caused by the Kingdom of Yugoslavia’s policy of mistreating the Croats in all kinds of nasty and humiliating ways, which ended very badly. Basically, the Croats have a very nasty habit of wiping out everybody who’s fucking with them, and the Serbs historically just can’t help themselves and keep fucking with us, ever since 1918 when the Austria-Hungary empire dissolved, and the Serbs saw this as an opportunity to make up for all the humiliations they suffered by the Ottoman Turks, and decided that conquering and serbifying the neighbours is an excellent thing to do. Also, unlike what the Russians have been told, Serbia is not some kind of a smaller Russia. True, it’s an Orthodox Christian country that writes in Cyrillic scripture and all that, but their mentality is completely different. The Serbs are crybullies, and 500 years under the Ottoman rule left them with a huge chip on their shoulder which makes them a permanent danger to all their neighbours. This is a shame, since I know many Serbs who are nice people, but as a nation they just can’t seem to mind their own business.

That’s not to say that Croats are some kind of angels; unfortunately, they crawled so deeply up America’s arse, they probably reached their tonsils by now, if not sinuses. Both Croatian political class, the press and the educational system are controlled from the American embassy, and are systematically working on destroying our identity and making us into a shapeless colony of the globalist project. Basically, if we had a problem in Yugoslavia, that’s nothing compared to the problem we’re having now.

“I’m not a fan of Putin, but…”

I always find it annoying when someone from the West prefaces something with “I’m not a fan of Putin, but…”

I translate this as “everything I know about Putin and Russia comes from Western propaganda, which I completely believe because I’m as dumb as a rock”. When you ask those people what do they know about Putin, what they will tell you is invariably list of fake news manufactured in Britain and America. Oh, Putin kills journalists and people who say something against him and so on. My answer to this is that it’s obviously not true because Putin is such a pedantic legalist, if he wanted to kill journalists who slander him, he’d draft a law allowing him to imprison or summarily kill journalists, and send it to Duma for a vote. If it’s against the law, you can be reasonably sure he’s against it and doesn’t do it. If you want to know what he wants to do, read the laws that are proposed. If he wanted to nuke America, he’d probably ask the parliament to give him permission to summarily nuke enemies of Russia that are threatening its existence at the moment.

What do I personally think of Putin? I think he’s in the same league as Peter the Great, Bismarck, Julius Caesar, Octavian Augustus and similar all-time great political minds; definitely the greatest living politician, and definitely the greatest we’ve seen since the death of Bismarck. He’s also the greatest living Christian politician, which is remarkable in these times, when the politicians in the West are all children of Satan. Am I a fan of Putin; let’s put it this way: I’m a fan of God and Truth, and Putin is also a fan of God and Truth. This makes us on the same team. To not be a fan of Putin in this geopolitical scenery means you’re either stupid, evil or both.

What to expect

Let’s put it this way: I raised the family prepping level yesterday. All cars need to have at least 80% full tank at all times, everybody needs to have a sufficient amount of cash (in local currency), supplies of food and hygienic products were refilled, and so on.

I see it like this: Ukraine is about to be overran by Russia; this series of air strikes basically serves the purpose of preparatory work for the imminent ground offensive. I expect that NATO suffered significant losses in the recent days, which was kept under wraps, and I expect the reason why the Russians avoided inflicting damage that would be truly irreparable is because they expect to be repairing it all in the following months. They basically gave the Ukrops something to do and let them know that war is not necessarily something that happens to other people.

This lesson is something I’m taking very seriously, because, in my opinion, the WW3 started when NATO rejected Russian “non-ultimatum”, and this is very obviously NATO vs. Russia, not Russia vs. Ukraine. This makes it very unlikely that NATO is going to just let Russia win. All the talk about nuclear war are basically preparing the public for it, because once America sees that all is lost, they are going to detonate something, blame the Russians, “retaliate”, and then all hell will break loose in one day.

Also, the Euro is about to collapse entirely, GBP might go the same way, all the biggest European banks are on their last legs, destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines sentenced Europe to energy starvation, and this is all mathematically certain, we’re just not seeing it yet. I almost forgot, the governments made all the groundworks for introducing totalitarian democratorships, both here in Europe and across the Atlantic, so protests will be drowned in blood.

One obviously asks “what to do”, and I would recommend keeping a low profile, stocking up on things that might be hard to get later, for instance anything that relies heavily on international trade – from shaving gear to computer and bicycle parts. If you need to fix something on your car, do it immediately. If you have a medical issue that needs to be taken care of, do it immediately. Have one month of supplies, so that you don’t have to go out during an imminent crisis. Some cash is essential, but anything bigger than what you need for one month’s expenses should be in gold and silver coins. I expect cash to be of the essence in the first phase, but then the entire fiat currency system will collapse and I would only rely on precious metals. If you are renting your home, you are vulnerable and potentially homeless when shit hits the fan. However, if you have only real estate and no gold, I would say you are even more vulnerable, because you can’t relocate and you can’t eat bricks.

How bad is it likely to get?

I think panic will be the worst part, when some event forces people to realize that this is real, it’s not going away by some state magic, and it’s not “over there”. When panic hits, you don’t want to be anywhere near the banks, ATM machines, gas stations, or shopping malls. You want to be at home, eating popcorn and waiting for this shitstorm to subside. So, stock up on popcorn and coconut oil. 🙂 The only way you can stay calm and unaffected in such a scenario is if you did all the preparations in advance; think people in Kiev on Sunday; instead of celebrating the Kerch bridge attack, they should have been finalizing their preparations for the Russian response.

It’s Sunday everywhere; don’t wait for Monday morning because your day might not start with coffee. I don’t know how soon it will strike, and I intend to be proactive, not reactive. If you’re reactive, you’re late. World war isn’t a thing of probability; we are almost a year in, it just didn’t hit you yet. Those things come very slowly in the beginning, and then all at once.

Also, everybody is already crazy because they understand what’s about to happen, somewhere on a subconscious level. Everybody is distracted, scatterbrained, and there are lots of aggressive people just asking for trouble. Keep a low profile. Remember God, don’t let the astral storm of godless savagery sweep you away. Also, the goal isn’t to survive. Nobody managed that since the dawn of time. The goal is to return to God, and not be spiritually corrupted or destroyed. He who dies a saint, wins.

 

For good measure

The Russians are continuing to serve Ukrops the coffee substitute this morning. No electricity, but plenty of Kalibr.

I seem to have guessed correctly yesterday, that this is in fact preparatory work for the ground offensive, and the connection to the Kerch bridge was merely a convenient deception on the Russian part.

To the dupes who believe the Western propaganda “news” sources about Russia running low on ammunition – is this finally enough for you to understand that you are being systemmatically lied to by your political class and your “journalists”? Russia is not running low on anything, they can keep this up for decades before feeling any strain. You, however, are in a worse position. It’s going to be a cold, hungry winter. Possibly also radioactive.