Why am I skeptical of Trump’s ability to implement an actual change in America?
Let’s go down my personal memory lane regarding American elections. First there was Carter, who was stale and incompetent and people wanted change, so they elected a dynamic, forceful outsider, a Trump-like figure by the name of Ronald Reagan. He was widely ridiculed for being an incompetent senile idiot who leads with his mouth, doesn’t know how things are done and will most likely stumble into a nuclear war with his blunders. The “progressives” of the time even made a “Spitting image” music video mocking him. What he did was stir things up, make a deal with the General Secretary Gorbachev and the cold war ended. After his two terms, the voters elected his vice-president, the Bush Sr., because they thought they are voting for the continuation of good policies. This, however, did not materialize and the next thing they elected the young, Kennedy-like, energetic, optimistic Bill Clinton, to represent the new generation born after the second world war. During his presidency, Yugoslavia fell apart in a bloody war, misery, crime and corruption flourished in the former Soviet Union, the CIA-financed Mujahideen in Afghanistan made their own state and started planing world domination of Islam, and Bill Clinton was fucking his intern, playing sax and projecting his Kennedy-like smile to the camera. Nevertheless, America then had money, things were good and nothing directly threatened them, so people were generally pleased with him, but still chose to elect a Republican as a follow-up, because they were tired of Kennedy-like presidents who, like Kennedy, fucked everything that met the prerequisites of being female and being left unattended. They elected Bush Jr., who was an idiot, but since they thought they had no pressing issues to solve, they thought a benevolent idiot playing golf and not fucking interns was exactly what they needed in the white house. However, Al Qaeda then actually managed to succeed with their plans of striking at American symbols, from the second attempt. People seem to have forgotten that there was a first attempt, with an explosive-filled truck in the WTC basement. That was very close to structurally compromising the building, and unfortunately the engineers actually said how close, on TV. Bin Laden paid attention and the second attempt worked. Unfortunately, it seems that he also had inside help – the plot was allowed to succeed by some elements within the FBI and probably other American institutions, because the plotters were known, they were followed, but nothing was done to hinder them. The doors just seemed to open magically in front of them, because those same elements needed something that would galvanize the population, to threaten it enough to be willing to surrender its freedoms for the sake of security. The president, stupid and incompetent as he was, simply nodded to all such proposals and signed off on everything, including the two stupid wars that the military-industrial complex required to get the military machine going and moving the economy. This massive spending without the additional war taxation to pay for it collapsed the American economy, and by the end of Bush Jr.’s first term, it was in complete shambles. People were tired of endless war, they were tired of their healthcare not working, they were tired of the economy that’s wrecked, and they wanted change, so they elected a young, dynamic, optimistic black guy who promised all kinds of stuff that basically said nothing but sounded good. That’s how we ended up with Obama as president. In his first term, he didn’t do jack shit, because he’s a demagogue and an ideologue who doesn’t compromise, but people were marginally willing to give him a second chance, to finish what he started. As a result, he did more of the same, which is to say, nothing, except trying to look and sound hip on TV.
The problem is, the new post-cold war generation was all about bullshit posturing and not much about getting things done efficiently, so they thought that electing an oppression Olympics champion would solve the “diversity” and “equality” problems that America was supposedly having. They seem to think that the world’s problems add up to some kind of “bigotry” and if they managed to put a black transsexual gay Muslim female in power, that would mean they solved all the problems. This does show what idiots teach at the American universities, producing more idiots with degrees every year, because those idiots can’t find a normal job anywhere in the economy except on the universities, in NGOs and in the media, where they spout their worthless diversity/equality drivel. Since this generation of idiots has a significant voting power, they managed to elect Obama. The only Pokemon they were missing was a female president, and so they attempted to elect probably the most corrupt, egocentric and wicked person in the world as the next one, because it’s not like America has any problems other than diversity/equality posturing. Oh no, their economy is working great, they have no international problems such as a looming nuclear conflict with Russia and China, or immigration of the Muslims, who are the worst culture in the world and are opposite to everything good in every conceivable way. No, the only thing they needed is a vagina-in-chief.
That’s how I see the trends. Obviously, Reagan is an example that you can elect a disruptive candidate, supremely disliked by the “progressives” in the media, who can actually do good things for both America and the world. The similarities with Donald Trump are striking. So, why am I skeptical?
First of all, I am skeptical because a democracy includes powerful checks and balances that prevent one-sided policies. You need to have systemic support in order to implement anything radical. The parliament needs to agree, the courts need to agree, the major parties need to be in consensus regarding the issue, the military must support it, the banks must support it, the industry must support it, and the people in general must support it. Reagan could end the cold war because he had the military that was aware of how closely matched they are with the Soviets and how bad it actually is, he had the people who were genuinely scared of the nuclear war and wanted the threat to end, and he had the Russians on the other side, who were purely defensive, and all it took to end the war was to convince them that America isn’t going to kill them all.
Now, the situation is different. Both the people and the politicians in America can’t agree on the color of shit. Media no longer has an informative role, it’s purely propagandistic and became completely untrustworthy. Due to this, nobody really believes anything or anyone anymore, and all sorts of conspiracy theories float on the Internet, collecting brainless followers. This makes it extremely difficult for anyone to implement anything useful, because every potentially useful project will encounter enormous opposition from various “activists” and “progressives”. Also, all sorts of interest groups will attempt to “earmark” the project with all kinds of pork-barrel spending as a pre-condition for their support. This will all serve to re-enforce the public skepticism of Washington.
Worldwide, the situation changed as well, because America deceived and betrayed Russia after the cold war. I could go into details but this is not the place – basically, what would be necessary in order for trust to be re-established is America to abolish NATO and remove the military assets not only from the Russian borders, but to establish a buffer zone of militarily neutral countries between the Russian borders and France. Everything that took place since the 1990 and now, regarding NATO expansion, should be rolled back. Furthermore, America needs to stop having a military presence at China’s doorstep, and let the regional countries make peace with each other on their own terms. Sure, they can keep Japan and South Korea under a nuclear umbrella in case some idiot in the North Korea gets ideas, but essentially the situation there needs to be unlocked, and it will only be unlocked once China no longer feels pressured by the American military presence on its doorstep. China will then be able to make graceful concessions to its neighbors instead of being forced into strength-posturing.
So, having in mind what it would take for things to normalize, and having in mind how the people are thinking and behaving in the recent years, I am skeptical of Trump’s chances, especially since he’s the second outsider president who’s supposed to bring radical change to the system. Obama was all about hope and change, and the trends just kept rolling. Trump is all about hope and change, and my expectation is that the trends will again determine the result.
You got very sane take on 9/11, opposed to those who think there is no conspiracy at all and that all magically happened just because or those who think that there were no muslim terrorists. Your take is evidenced in great detail on ISGP website.
We can say that events that could bring war before elections didn’t happen (luckily), but what about now? I see that America seems really divided, there are protests against Trump and Hitlery supporters are doing everything they said Trump supporters would do in the case he lost (irony).
Is it possible that powers that actually rule America want this state of chaos, maybe fueling protests just to implement some ordo ab chao policy, similar to Patriot Act after 9/11?
I tend to be very careful and conservative when sifting through the available data and reaching conclusions, because I don’t have any external authority that would validate my results, so I need to do a good job myself. That means I’m usually applying the principles of game theory on politics, basically “see who benefits”, and I usually go with the highest-probability assessments.
For instance, my highest-probability assessment for the elections was “Trump wins by a significant margin unless the elections are outright stolen”, because my analysis of the social media trends was that support for Trump relative to Clinton was greater than the support for Obama relative to both his counter-candidates.
I tend to avoid the line of thinking that goes something like this: the government and the media are deceiving us, therefore it’s all designed by the Illuminati lizard aliens from space. My thinking would be that the government and the media are deceiving us, therefore we need to carefully sift through the available data and use the best known tools for making sense of the data in order to figure out what is going on, and very conservatively normalize the results.
Also, I have no problem with saying that the situation is unclear and I don’t know what’s going on. This is very important, because if you don’t remove the pressure of always having a conclusive interpretation of the data, you force yourself into accepting the low-probability conclusions, which is the opposite of useful. Now, for instance, I see where the majority of the elements on the global chessboard lie, but I’m not sure that the players are certain about the next moves, and I see lots of fluidity, reassessment, and uncertainty. Also, I see deliberate action behind the anti-Trump riots in America, most likely Soros or some similar asshole. It all looks very much like the BLM crowd – paid instigators working up the useful idiots. Essentially, someone seems to be trying out parts of the color revolution gameplan on America. I don’t see it taking hold because the vast majority of the opposition is cautiously optimistic and is willing to give Trump the benefit of the doubt. The protesters have no real support and it would be for the best if the police simply locked them all up. There is, nevertheless, a serious danger of a civil war in America, because of the vastly different perceptions of both reality and desirable actions between the two major political groups. The major political groups are the people who have actual jobs and are grounded in reality of going to work, paying the bills and taking care of their kids, and the “lost generation” that isn’t employed, isn’t really employable, doesn’t have a solid grasp on the basic facts of life, and doesn’t have any real responsibilities. However, that second group is more involved with collecting Pokemons and the specs of the next smartphone than anything political, and they are so far out of it that they are unable to take part in any real conflict. But I also see no future for them, they are all very likely to get seriously fucked.
What do you think is going to happen next? Civil war seems like a danger but maybe unlikely considering they probably want USA to project its power against Russia/China and it can’t do that if its torn apart from inside.
I think the most important factor is the economy. It’s in a much, much worse condition than it appears, an total collapse of the global monetary system is imminent. If there is to be a world war, it will take place in order to hide this cause of the western civilization’s collapse and provide another excuse, in hope that the entire thing will recover, like it did after ww2. That’s my main conclusion.
However, this precludes any intervention from above, and I hope the actual solution will come from that direction.
The problem is, everything is falling apart so badly it’s difficult to tell where it will break. For instance, the EU retirement funds are imminently going to collapse. The German banks are overextended and will imminently collapse. America sold everybody’s gold decades ago in order to prop dollar against gold. The oil production maxed out in 2007; everything since then has been short-term fuckery. The American economy never recovered from the 2008. collapse, and it never will because the causes are systemic; too much taxation, too high price of labor, too much paperwork. America exported its crisis by printing trillions of dollars and forcing everybody else to buy that shit with hard assets in order to buy oil. Essentially, they are pumping out resources from the rest of the world to themselves and using the money mostly as venture capital, to inflate their own GDP. Other powers understand this and it is unsustainable and will lead to conflict.
Basically, there’s absolutely no way this situation can last, the only question is what will trigger the avalanche and when, and this is impossible for me to predict.
This is maybe difficult to answer, and I’m not even sure how to formulate a question, but how do you fit your expectation of the intervention from above with the current way that events unfold? I mean, was it always supposed to happen at the moment when it will happen, or is it in fact an improvisation and its actually meant to be unexpected?
Because I know some things should happen, and I mean it in a purely mundane sense. This will happen here, this will happen there, this man will marry and have two kids, and this one will move to another country. There are enough of these events for at least another five years, if not more. I presume that the intervention you are talking about is meant to come into place from some completely another transcendental line of causality, and will just cut off everything else that would have taken place otherwise — so that’s what makes it prone to any kind of lower level prophetic foreseeing?
Yeah, I am also wondering about this. Its obvious that this intervention when coming from “above” means that it comes from different “plane of reality”, maybe Causal plane. But what I am interested is how does that look.
Is it incarnation into a human body (like Jesus or Krishna) and when they grow up they organize themselves into some kind of army and go cleaning or is it something like whole physical universe stopping to exist.
How do you shut down a linux server? Do you materialize within it as a tiny human figure that has great X-Men powers of moving bytes around and flying across the hard drive? Or do you establish a root ssh connection and root@universe:/# shutdown -h now ?
Implications: in order to even be in the position to know what it takes and what it’s all about, you need to have a very non-muggle level of insight into the nature of reality and into the level of “spiritual magic” required to function on that level. So, where a user sees a web page, an insider logs into ssh, types htop and sees the apache and mysql processes running. Kill apache and the user gets an error message, the website magically disappears. Unpack a different website into /var/www and the user sees a magical change of content. The way a user perceives those things is completely different from how an insider perceives them.
So its something like in my example 2, universe shutting down. But here is another question. How does that look regarding our existence?
Can we even feel that destruction and does it look like we are suddenly put into awareness of our astral body, like when you become lucid in dreams and basically not aware of your physical body sleeping in bed?
I have ideas but I’m not sure it’s the greatest idea to talk about them.
Does talking about them mean betraying the guys above?
No, that’s not my main consideration; my main problem is that I am not sure how the things will unfold exactly, partly because I don’t want to pre-determine my position before I come to the point of making and implementing decisions.
I understand.
Look, it’s difficult to explain, but I’ll give it a try.
This world has certain laws, and certain permissions for existence upon which it was made. Almost everything considering that is secret, and, as a result, I only know that some things exist, but I don’t know what they are. Nobody is allowed to know.
One of those things is the termination date. It is allowed to know that it exists, but the date itself is completely off limits. Jesus didn’t know it, I don’t know it, and anyone who says he knows it is full of shit.
Regarding powers over this world. The concept of destroying a world or destroying a universe sounds difficult or impossible if you look at this thing as something real. It is real, in a sense that it exists, but the wallpaper on my Windows desktop is also real, in the sense that it exists, but if I turn off the monitor or shut down the system the form of its existence changes. The monitor and the computer, however, continue to exist in the same way as before. Obviously, software exists in a different way than hardware. Hardware also has multiple forms of existence: it can perform its function, it can be turned off but functional, and it can retain appearance of functionality but be broken. So, a broken monitor, a monitor that is turned off and a monitor that works and displays an image all have the same mass and dimensions. Software, however, is an ephemeral and volatile thing that can shift in and out of existence much more quickly and flexibly. This universe is software.
With sufficient permissions, it can be turned off or modified. However, gaining those permissions is not trivial, and to even understand how it works requires the level of “magical” ability not less than that of Jesus or Buddha. I repeat, to even know what it takes was demonstrably discovered only by those two, that I know of. All the rest of the supposedly enlightened persons throughout history were not even in the same league. One attempted to gain permissions on the system sufficient for taking it down, and the other attempted to defuel the system without gaining permissions on the system itself. Both attempts demonstrate great knowledge of spiritual energetics.
I’m not even going to talk about what I’m doing, and about the order of magnitude. If I succeed, it will be known, and if I don’t, it won’t matter.